weight loss *CAN* be controlled strictly by caloric intake (even though exercise is beneficial for health reasons).
Theoretically, there is no difference between each of your examples.
My recommendation is to do a search for the BMR calculation, which will tell you (based upon gender, age and activity level) what your basal metabolic rate is. Then you can calculate how much less you can eat to reach a desired weight.
For example, if you are maintaining your weight at a current caloric intake of 2000, then eating only 1800
calories per day would allow you to lose a single
pound of
fat after about 17 or 18 days (3500 divided by -200
calories = 17.5 days). On the contrary, if you are maintaining your weight at 2000
calories, and you started eating 2200
calories, your weight would increase by one
pound after about 2 weeks.
Hope that helps and good luck!